The Fed is keeping rates steady at 4.25%-4.5% as new tariffs fuel inflation risks, prompting a cautious wait-and-see approach.
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IMF downgrades U.S. outlook amid tariff uncertainty
IMF issued its steepest downgrade for the U.S. among advanced economies, citing rising tariff-related uncertainty and a heightened risk of recession. Global economic sentiment has dimmed, with the IMF now projecting a 37% chance of a U.S. downturn—up sharply from 25% just months ago.
Even with a 90-day pause, Trump’s tariffs are already hitting Asia. Two charts show the impact.
President Trump’s new tariffs hit Asian exporters the hardest. With a 90-day pause in place, countries like Vietnam and Cambodia seek trade solutions amid rising U.S. trade deficits.
U.S. trade deficits and Trump’s new tariffs: which countries are getting hit the hardest?
The U.S. reported major trade deficits in February 2025 with China, the EU, and Mexico—just as President Trump’s latest round of ‘reciprocal’ tariffs took effect. Here’s a breakdown of who’s facing the steepest penalties, and why some key allies like Canada and Mexico are exempt.